About

I'm Orphe Divounguy. I'm an economist, and I spend most of my time trying to figure out what's actually moving the economy — not what the latest headline says is moving it.

For more than a decade I've worked on the questions decision-makers actually have to answer: where housing is heading, what the job market is really doing, why rates moved the way they did, what a policy change will mean for the people who live with it. That's meant building the underlying tools — forecasting models, policy indexes, market reads — because most of the time, the data executives need doesn't sit on a shelf waiting to be quoted. Someone has to source it, clean it, build it and analyze it.

My work has been used by C-suites preparing for earnings calls, policymakers weighing legislation, investors sizing up markets, and journalists trying to explain what just happened. I've testified before legislatures, briefed the White House Council of Economic Advisers, and spent a lot of time on television and at conferences doing the hardest part of this job: explaining complicated things clearly without pretending they're simple.

What I care about is whether the analysis is right and whether it's useful. The methods have to hold up; the conclusions have to be honest about what we know and what we don't; and the whole thing has to be something a busy executive can actually use. That's the standard — for clients, for what I publish here, for everything.

If you want help pressure-testing the research your decisions rest on, building a market thesis you can defend, or borrowing some credibility for work you're already proud of, you can find more about how I work here — or just get in touch.